Sunlight Foundation

Budget and Deficit Transparency

Earlier this week, the Senate passed an amendment to the unemployment extenders bill that would require the Secretary of the Senate to post information related to the debt effect of each bill that passes the Senate. The vote was 100-0. Unaminous votes are pretty rare in the Senate. This one highlights both the significance that the debt is playing in lawmaker's minds and the general support for transparency as an idea in Congress.

The bill itself has some issues, which I'll address here.

First, what does the amendment do? This is the legislative language (which, unlike most legislative language, is pretty straightforward):

(a) In General.--The Secretary of the Senate shall post prominently on the front page of the public website of the Senate (http://www.senate.gov/) the following information:

(1) The total amount of discretionary and direct spending passed by the Senate that has not been paid for, including emergency designated spending or spending otherwise exempted from PAYGO requirements.

(2) The total amount of net spending authorized in legislation passed by the Senate, as scored by CBO.

(3) The number of new government programs created in legislation passed by the Senate.

(4) The totals for paragraphs (1) through (3) as passed by both Houses of Congress and signed into law by the President.

(b) Display.--The information tallies required by subsection (a) shall be itemized by bill and date, updated weekly, and archived by calendar year.

(c) Effective Date.--The PAYGO tally required by subsection (a)(1) shall begin with the date of enactment of the Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010 and the authorization tally required by subsection (a)(2) shall apply to all legislation passed beginning January 1, 2010.

Okay, now the criticism:

1) The items that are to be disclosed in (a)(2) and (a)(3) are either not specific or only tell one side of the coin. For example, the net spending in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), is $871 billion from 2010-2019. However, the net cost is listed at $614 billion from 2010-2019. Furthermore, the CBO projects that the bill would result in a net reduction in deficits of $132 billion from 2010-2019. So, the CBO projects that the bill will reduce the deficit, but this amendment would only disclose the "total amount of net spending." That seems a bit like cherry-picking if you ask me. Same goes for disclosing new government programs created in a bill. First, the amendment does not define a government program. Definition is really important in disclosure legislation. Second, what if a bill reduces the number of government programs? Why would we not want to disclose that?

2) Is there a database for this? It doesn't look like it. And why is it updated weekly instead of in real-time? Also, why not post the deficit impact of legislation before it is passed by the Senate or both chambers? Posting information on legislation prior to enactment or passage would probably help achieve the transparency bill's goal of making it more difficult for lawmaker's to approve deficit spending.

3) The whole thing seems like a piecemeal effort. What the government really needs is something like the Budget.gov web site that my colleague Daniel Schuman discussed in this post. Additionally, Congress should give citizens access to all the same legislative resources that Congress is provided through the Congressional Research Service (CRS) and the Legislative Information Service (LIS).

I'm all in favor of more transparency around the budget, the deficit and the debt. Rather than an ad hoc requirement placed on the Secretary of the Senate, there may be a more broad and sustained approach to budgetary and deficit transparency that could be more informative to the public's needs.

And the TARP Subsidy Keeps Growing. . .

Buried in prepared testimony by the director of the Congressional Budget Office on Jan. 28 are some eye-catching numbers that reflect the potential cost of the bailout for taxpayers. The CBO's Douglas Elmendorf told the Senate Budget Committee that $94 billion of the $293 billion allocated to banks and other institutions under the Treasury Department's Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) as of Jan. 22 could wind up being subsidies. In short, CBO analysts estimate that almost a third of the money spent by Treasury on stock purchases, loans and asset guarantees may not be recovered, meaning taxpayers would absorb the cost. And here's a more sobering statement, again from Elmendorf: "Of the $700 billion that the TARP is expected to disburse before the end of December of this year [2009], CBO anticipates that the subsidy cost (after adjusting for market risk) will be about $200 billion." The TARP Subsidies page of the Subsidyscope Web site provides a breakdown of all the CBO projections to date.

Track the Bailout on Subsidyscope

Starting today, the Subsidyscope Web site tries to bring a little order to the government’s bewildering economic rescue effort. A project of The Pew Charitable Trusts and the Sunlight Foundation, the site will offer data and analysis on federal market interventions of all types over the next several years. What better place to start than the bailout – the acronym-rich array of stock purchases, loans and loan guarantees that seems to grow bigger each day?

We begin by offering a database of transactions under the Treasury Department’s Troubled Asset Relief Program, better known as TARP. Here you can find the name of each institution that got TARP money; its location; its size (as measured by total assets); and the amount and date of the transaction. We also show a breakdown of the potential subsidy costs of these stock purchases and loans, as estimated by the Congressional Budget Office. TARP transactions become subsidies when the government pays more than market value for stock or makes loans at below-market rates. About a quarter of the $247 billion allocated by Treasury as of Dec. 31 constitutes a subsidy, the CBO reports. In our chart, you’ll see that the subsidy rates for some transactions – e.g., loans to General Motors and Chrysler, estimated by the CBO at 63 percent – are quite high. The average rate for all transactions is 26 percent.

We’ll add numbers, graphics and documents to the site in the coming weeks and months. The aim is to make Subsidyscope a source of comprehensive, easy-to-understand information on the bailout and other massive federal programs.

Hands on Budgeting

As we head into the general election period, American Public Media, the public radio entity best known for producing A Prairie Home Companion and Marketplace, has launched an instructive and fun online game titled Budget Hero.  The game allows you to set the U.S. budget by cutting or raising taxes, and increasing or decreasing spending.  You want universal healthcare?  Add it to the budget.  Increased funding for Social Security?  Go for it.  Bring the troops home from Iraq? Just do it.  Obviously, all such decisions will impact your budget.  In this sense, it is similar to the 1993 computer game Shadow President.  But with Budget Hero, every major decision, such as to repeal the Bush tax cut and raise taxes on the rich are accompanied with a list of pros and cons and potential impacts. 

The folks at American Public Media worked with the Congressional Budget Office and the Government Accounting Office to get the data correct.  When you finish, the game allows you to compare your "budget" to other gamers.  A serious and detailed review of Budget Hero can be accessed here. This is a fun tool that can teach you alot.


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